Monday, December 22nd, 2014

Talking Ravens Fans Back from the Ledge

13

Ravens Fans Jump

We know, B’More. After watching your Ravens completely decimate the previously undefeated Denver Broncos, you were ready to book your plane tickets to Miami for the Super Bowl. Now, though, after seeing Cincy completely undress our purple heroes for the second time in a month, you’re ready to throw in the towel on the 2009 season, with all hopes and dreams for any January 2010 “Festivus” activities lost forever.

But please, don’t jump off that proverbial ledge just yet. Hear us out.

The question now becomes – are the Ravens as good as they played against Denver OR are they as bad as they played against Cincy?

The answer is probably “somewhere in between,” but it’s going to take MUCH more of the former to have any hopes of a playoff berth. In all honesty, a 4-4 team has no business talking about playoffs, and the TEAM shouldn’t be. We, however, are just fans, and can be as unrealistic as we damn well please right?

Right.

Now then – Sunday’s game was reminiscent of Week 11 last year. The then 6-3 Ravens got manhandled by the New York Giants on the road, and at 6-4 were precariously holding onto playoff dreams. Remember? And remember how they responded? That’s right, by stomping the eventual NFC runner-up Philadelphia Eagles to the tune of 36-7.

With the Cleveland Browns next week (basically a 2nd bye), a similar stomping is very likely. And, with games against Detroit, Chicago, at Oakland, and in Green Bay against a Packers team that looks very pedestrian right now, all is NOT lost.

Let’s put “the p word” aside for now.

Instead, the Ravens’ ultimate goal should be 10 wins. Get to 10 wins, B’More, and let the chips fall where they may. Although in 2008, even 11 wins was not enough for the New England Patriots to get into the postseason, historically 10 wins will get you some January football.

At 4-4, is a 10 win season realistic? Looking at the remaining schedule, the “easiest” path to double digit victories would be as follows:

In decreasing order of “win probability” (based on exactly nothing) –

Win 5 – @ Cleveland
Win 6 – vs. Detroit
Win 7 – @ Oakland
Win 8 – vs. Chicago

Still need two more. The next “most likely” win would seem to be…

Win 9 – @ Green Bay

Winning in December in Lambeau is no easy task, but remember that the Pack just lost to the lowly Tampa Bay Bucs – stranger things have happened.

Unfortunately, that’s the last one that we can feel even remotely warm & fuzzy about. Harbaugh’s crew MUST be able to steal one of the remaining games:

Win 10 (?) – vs. Indianapolis
Win 10 (?) – vs. Pittsburgh
Win 10 (?) – @ Pittsburgh

If you can’t win your home games, you have no business being in the playoffs. Two of the three against Peyton and Ben are in the friendly confines of M&T Bank Stadium. If the Ravens are able to squeak away with a “W” in any one of those three games, 10 wins is still very much in the cards.

So please, step back from the ledge, won’t you?

Comments

13 Responses to “Talking Ravens Fans Back from the Ledge”
  1. Nest we have too much to correct in time to get tot the playoffs. I see us finishing at 8 and 8

  2. Goob says:

    10 wins won’t do it in our division with the way the other guys are playing. The Bungles are up 2 games on us and they still have a few cupcake games in a row as well after they play the Steelers on Sunday.

    I wouldn’t mind being Mustard because I’m sick of playing Ketchup

  3. RAVENSFAN says:

    What!? A win against Pit or Indy, you’re kidding right? Did you see last weeks game?? Any team with a good QB and decent receivers will pick us apart. They’ll also do it early to beat us down quickly. What bothers me is that in both games against Cincy, we just didn’t show up. They totally dominated us in the second game in every phase. These games were probably the most important games of the year for us and we gave them away. They played dumb in both. Champions play disciplined all the time, period. The first game was winnable but they gave it away. We don’t deserve to win when we play like that.

  4. NestMinder says:

    /sees that Thom, Goob, and RAVENSFAN are extremely comfortable on the ledge, thank you very much.

  5. Matt says:

    Here one Ravens fan that isnt on the ledge. I thought coming in the season they slide back a bit to 9-7 or 8-8. Usually a team with a 2nd year HC and QB slides a bit espically if they inherited a bad team like the 07 team.The four games you mention they should win and I don’t think Green Bay is that good. Their defense is okay and their O-line makes any front 7 look like the 2000 Ravens. Thanksgiving is coming up and we should be thankful small things like the fact we are not Redskins fans who kill to have our front office and owner and stadium.

  6. RAVENSFAN says:

    Well, actualy I’m not comfortable on the ledge. I HATE the ledge. I’m as guilty as the next fan. I drank the purple Kool Aid by the gallon. I also predicted either 8-8 and 9-7. But the Cincy games

  7. RAVENSFAN says:

    …were just so lame on our part. I was also fooled by the Denver game into thinking that we’d addressed our problems on defense. Oh, well. We’re in for a few years of rebuilding. Sure would be nice to be good on both sides of the ball at the same time.

  8. Lee says:

    My money is on 8 wins. Looking at worst case, one of those first four teams sneaks a win (not likely but not impossible) especially if Cutler puts 35 on the board and they remember how to play defense. GB is winnable but like you say, Lambeau at night, in December is always going to be tough. Chalk Indy up as automatic L (we should have just started the season 0-1 and skipped this one). The optimist in me hopes we can muster a split with Pitt. So to recap, on the low end I get 8 wins–high end 10.

  9. UnbiasedGuy says:

    Nestminder, please address the philosophy and the identity question I alluded to in my last post. Do they need to focus on the run or the pass? etc. How about defense? 4-4 is just an indicator of getting something half right and half wrong. Thanks!

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